There is one problem with scribbling on the Interweb.
Once something is published, it’s out there in all its glory and can’t be radically corrected. Little bits like misspellings and missing words or letters can be corrected but the main thrust is there for all to see. I could pull a post [and have done in the past] but its ghost is still there on servers all around the planet, in caches, feed readers and the like.
Yesterday I banged off my little brainfart and it was only a while later I realised that what I had put up was not quite what was churning around in my head at the time. I should maybe clarify my thoughts somewhat?
There was a parallel between the Ukrainian crisis and the Cuban Missile crisis but that no longer applies. It’s all down to Red Lines. In the Cuban affair, a ship carrying missiles was heading towards Cuba and Kennedy set up a line of warships with the message that if the Russian ships crossed a certain point that they would be attacked. The ships reached that point but turned back. Conflict was avoided and the world breathed a sigh of relief.
The difference with the Ukrainian affair is that the Russians have already crossed the Red Line. The dogs in the street knew there was an invasion planned. Every denial from Putin confirmed this, The troops massed on the borders and the warning should have gone out – the Ukrainian border is the Red Line – cross that and there will be trouble. Now that the line is crossed, sending in foreign troops will have major consequences as it will give the Russians an excuse to retaliate against the country that supplied the troops – open warfare.
So the West is sitting on its collective hands. They are hitting the Russian banks, banning Russian flights, giving Putin a slap on the wrist from the Pope and worst of all, banning them from the Eurovision Song Contest. Far from being a song without words, it’s words without a song. Russia can carry on bombing Ukraine knowing that the West is too scared to go further. It’s like the family of a lad who is known for breaking into houses – they stop the kid’s pocket money and take away his car keys as if that is going to have any effect.
So my personal feelings are one of frustration and anger. The Russians are literally getting away with murder. They have committed an act of war and the world is just sitting by, and there is fuck all I can do about it.
My error yesterday was in the use of the word “unmoved”. What I was trying to say that there was no point in my making any statements regarding the war as anything I say will have no consequence. I doubt Putin reads this humble site? I doubt that a word of anger on my part is going to incite massed marches in the streets? In fact I very much doubt if the world really cares whether I am unmoved or not.
What would I like to see happen? What I would like is for the Russians to apologise, to offer to repair all the damage and then bugger off home. I think that is somewhat unlikely though. Failing that, the only response is to send in troops to aid the Ukrainians – exceptionally risky but the only way to stop Putin and his ambitions. If he gets away with this then what’s next? Estonia? Latvia? Lithuania? Belarus?
What the Ukrainians need is well trained manpower. Weapons and ammunition are all very well but the battle is being fought by reservists and untrained men. Mind you, it wouldn’t surprise me if troops are already being sent but in secret, to train and support the locals
Nothing would surprise me any more.
An answer to your later point is that almost certainly there are already shadow troops on the ground, doing whatever they do.
An interesting thought is that the peace-loving German government has just decided to send many thousands of missiles etc. to help – that may indeed sound helpful but how the hell do they plan to deliver ship-loads of ordnance when the whole country is a war-zone with its population dashing madly for all the exits? Even a Transit van full of sparklers would attract attention from the invaders. Either it’s just a virtue-signalling offer or they have established channels through which such huge volumes can easily be shipped – makes you think, doesn’t it?
For the last 20 years, Ukraine has been one of the off-site bases used by the USA for its ‘dark ops’, all those nasty and bio things that they can’t be seen doing on home turf – one imagines that those facilities aren’t exactly unprotected by the USA’s own. So yes, almost certainly there are active units of other powers already on-site. The UK army is probably busy delivering diversity training sessions.
The latest silliness is about SWIFT. Some Western morons, who must not understand where their heating and electricity originates, want to exclude Russia from the SWIFT inter-bank system, thus halting Russian oil & gas reaching Europe.
This is most certainly an own goal and will encourage Russian-Chinese trade and energy exports to China. Perhaps it’s the wrong time of year to cut off one’s heating supplies!
They went to great pains to announce that some banking systems would be shut down, presumably leaving others in place? I would imagine they are aware of the energy business, just as Russia hasn’t bombed the main gas pipeline. Bombing that would cut off a major supply of Europe’s gas but the Russian gas suppliers would lose out too.
Russia has never changed – it is a massive kleptocracy. It only exists as a country at all because of a series of authoritarian rulers.
I would be glad if Putin was knocked out by a drone strike. However, what is annoying is the hypocrisy of Western leaders who don’t give a damn about the suffering of the innocent in wars elsewhere.
You can be sure there have been numerous plans to knock off Putin. The man is clearly insane. Or else he’s incredibly devious and has something else up his sleeve?
Indeed Putin is as slippery as a sackful of eels but I also believe he’s palpably insane. However, ruling by fear and surrounding yourself with a bunch of shit-scared “yes-men”*, whilst generally prolonging your life usually means that your knowledge of, and grasp of, reality is tenuous (to put it mildly).
*See also Joe Stalin.
As an aside; Liquor stores in British Columbia, Canada have joined the war effort by pulling Russian Vodka from their shelves.
Make of that what you will.
That’s nearly as serious as banning Russia from the Eurovision Song Contest. Surely they’ll throw in the towel now?